https://x.com/hoopstonite/status/2120669735276962203 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R10CJzElZ-w The Volume的球評Jason Timpf 之前多次上過ptt 完整逐字稿 1. Sixers Defensive Strategy 76人的防守策略 If your goal is to beat the Boston Celtics, it can't be, "We're going to exist in rotation." They're too good at playing that style of basketball. And so, what I'll be really curious to see, because this is a potential playoff matchup, this could be an Eastern Conference Finals matchup, this could be an Eastern Conference Semifinals matchup, I'll be really curious to see how much Nick Nurse tweaks the defensive aggression against this particular matchup, simply because of what we talked about. 如果你的目標是擊敗波士頓塞爾提克，那你的防守策略就不能是讓自己不斷陷入輪轉補防 因為他們太擅長利用這種防守方式了。 所以，我非常好奇接下來會發生什麼事。畢竟這可能是季後賽的對戰組合，可能是東區冠 軍賽，也可能是東區準決賽。我真的很想知道，Nick Nurse 面對這個特定對手時， 究竟會在多大程度上調整防守的侵略性，原因就是我們剛才討論的那些問題。 Boston off the catch is lethal, and they killed the Sixers last night. You have to kind of have a "live with it" attitude. If Paul George hits a tough pull-up three against drop coverage, you have to shake his hand and trust the defense. If Payton Pritchard hits a tough step-back three in isolation, you have to trust the process. Stick with the scheme. Understanding that over 34 of those, even on a night where we all admit Boston shot extremely well, they barely got one point per shot on those. Whereas every time they got into rotation, Boston killed them with those off-the-catch jump shots. 塞爾提克的接球出手極具殺傷力，昨晚他們靠這招打爆76人。 你必須抱持一種「有些球就是得認了」的心態。 如果 Paul George 面對沉退防守，投進一記高難度的急停三分球，那你就只能向他致意 ，然後繼續相信自己的防守。 如果Pritchard 在單打時，投進一記高難度的後撤步三分球，你也必須相信整套防守策略 ，堅持原本的防守體系。要知道，即使是在我們都承認塞爾提克昨晚手感極佳的情況下， 他們那34次出手，平均每次出手也才勉強拿到1分左右。 相較之下，每當76人被迫進入輪轉補防，塞爾提克就會利用那些接球後立即出手的跳投， 狠狠懲罰他們。 So that's the kind of thing that I want to see with Nick Nurse as this team improves over the course of the season and prepares for that rematch on January 21st. Is Nick Nurse flexible enough to be willing to live with Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown—or excuse me, Jayson Tatum, Paul George, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White—taking off-the-dribble jump shots rather than easy catch-and-shoot, in-rhythm threes because you're constantly throwing the kitchen sink at the ball? 所以，隨著76人在賽季中逐漸進步，並準備1/21的下次交手，我最想看Nurse的變化 Nick Nurse 究竟有沒有足夠的彈性，願意接受Tatum、George、Pritchard 和White 在運球後自行創造跳投機會？ 而不是因為你不斷對持球者施加各種防守壓力，最後反而讓他們得到輕鬆、節奏順暢的接 球三分機會？ 2. LeBron's Shooting Struggles LBJ的投籃問題 That's why it's interesting with this Philly team. If you look at their metrics, their offense looks bad and their defense looks great. But I'm actually more concerned about their defense than I am about their offense in the big picture. So, for instance, on the offensive end, LeBron was terrible last night, and I'm legitimately disappointed in LeBron for being this bad of a jump shooter again. 這也是為什麼我覺得這支費城76人很有意思。如果你去看他們的進階數據，他們的進攻看 起來很糟糕，防守卻非常出色。但從整體來看，我其實更擔心他們的防守，而不是進攻。 舉例來說，在進攻端，LeBron 昨晚的表現非常糟糕。 而且，看到 LeBron 的跳投再次爛成這樣，我真的感到非常失望。 It was abundantly clear last year that your inability to hit catch-and-shoot threes hurt the Lakers. You move to a team where you're surrounded by all this elite ball handling, and once again, you're getting all these wide-open catch-and-shoot threes, and you can't make them. In his career, he has typically responded well to poor jump-shooting seasons by addressing that concern in the summer and coming back the next year as a better jump shooter. 去年就已經非常清楚了，你無法命中接球三分球的問題，傷害了湖人隊。 現在你轉到另一支球隊，身邊有這麼多頂尖的持球好手，結果你又一次獲得大量完全空檔 的接球三分機會，卻還是投不進。 回顧 LeBron 的職業生涯，每當他經歷一個跳投表現不佳的賽季，通常都能在夏天針對這 個問題做出改善，並在隔年以更好的投籃能力回歸。 I think his jumper looks terrible, and it's deeper than just whether or not they're going in. He's hesitant on a lot of them. He doesn't look like he wants to shoot them. His form looks like he's all over the place, shooting with a different form every single time. LeBron's jump shot is a problem right now. 但我認為他現在的跳投動作看起來非常糟糕。而且問題不只是球有沒有投進這麼簡單。 他在很多次出手時都顯得猶豫不決，看起來根本不想投籃。他的投籃姿勢也非常不穩定， 幾乎每次出手都像是用了不同的動作。LeBron 的跳投現在確實是個問題。 3. Embiid's Poor Performance 鉛筆的糟糕表現 Joel Embiid is an absolute mess on both ends of the floor right now and has been for a couple of weeks. It's in every facet of the game. Neemias Queta was kicking his ass on the glass last night. If you have a center that can't rebound, that can't defend in a drop, but also can't defend in a high drop—he was in a high-drop or a low-drop look last night in the first half and just let Payton Pritchard waltz to the rim for a layup. Joel Embiid 現在在攻防兩端根本就是一團亂，而且這種情況已經持續好幾個星期了。 他的問題幾乎出現在比賽的每個層面。昨晚Queta在搶籃板上 根本把他打得毫無招架之力 如果你有一個中鋒，他搶不到籃板，無法執行沉退防守，甚至連高位沉退防守都做不好 昨晚上半場，他明明採取了高位或低位沉退防守的站位，卻就這樣讓 Payton Pritchard 輕輕鬆鬆地一路切進籃下上籃得分。 I'm like, that's the one thing that coverage has to take away. If he's not protecting the rim, if he's not defending in space, if he's not rebounding, if he can't make jump shots, and if he can't score out of the post, he's a damaging basketball player right now. 我當下就在想，這明明就是這種防守策略最應該阻止的事情。 如果他無法保護籃框，無法在外圍空間防守，搶不到籃板，投不進跳投，甚至連低位單打 都無法得分……那他現在就是一個會傷害球隊的籃球員。 4. Outlook for Sixers Offense 76人進攻端的未來展望 Whether it's through natural rhythm over the course of the season as those guys, LeBron and Embiid in particular, work into shape, or it's just them getting lots of reps together as a team, I am not worried about the Sixers' offense eventually figuring things out. Also, their offense is more built for the postseason environment. It is much harder to get clean catch-and-shoot looks in the playoffs with how good the defenses are, with their game planning, their scouting, and the intensity of their rotations. 不管是隨著賽季進行，LeBron 和 Embiid 這些球員逐漸找回比賽節奏、恢復身體狀態， 還是整支球隊透過大量實戰累積默契，我都不擔心76人的進攻最終無法找到解決辦法。 而且，他們的進攻體系其實更適合季後賽的環境。到了季後賽，想要獲得乾淨的接球投籃 機會會困難得多。因為季後賽球隊的防守實在太好了，不論是賽前的戰術部署、 針對其他隊的情蒐，還是防守輪轉的強度，都會大幅提升。 And all of a sudden, having all of that talent, especially talent that can thrive in the mid-range and attack matchups, is a huge asset. So it's weird because you've got this bottom-10 Sixers offense, but I'm just not worried about them on that end of the floor in the big picture. I expect them to steadily get better over the course of the regular season. I expect LeBron to steadily get better as he continues to get into shape. I do think Embiid's eventually going to play a lot better. He can't play any worse, so Embiid's going to play better. 而在這種環境下，擁有這麼多天賦出眾的球員，尤其是那些擅長中距離進攻、能夠針對特 定對位發動攻擊的球員，就會成為一項巨大的優勢。所以這才是奇怪的地方。 76人現在的進攻效率排名聯盟倒數十名，但從整體來看，我就是不擔心他們的進攻。 我預期他們會在例行賽期間持續進步。我也預期 LeBron 隨著身體狀態逐漸恢復， 表現會越來越好。我確實認為 Embiid 最終會打得好很多。 畢竟他不可能打得比現在更差，所以他的表現一定會改善。 Jaylen Brown's not playing well to start the season. He's eventually going to play better. Like, Jaylen Brown, a lot of talk about your rivalry with the Celtics. A lot of talk about how you're going to go to war. A lot of talk about check ball. But you're playing bad basketball right now. Jaylen Brown's got to play better. These guys are going to play better. They're going to be fine over the course of the season. I have legitimate concerns about their defense, though. Brown 在賽季初的表現也不好，但他最終也會打得更好。說到Brown，你一直在談論自己跟 塞爾提克之間的恩怨，一直說你準備好要跟他們大戰一場。一直想「正面較量」，準備跟 對手一較高下，但你現在打的就是很爛的籃球，Jaylen Brown 必須打得更好。 這些球員都會逐漸找回狀態。隨著賽季進行，他們不會有問題的。 不過，我確實對他們的防守有很大的疑慮。 5.Defensive Concerns for Philly Even though the metrics are good, I'm not sure Embiid's going to be able to guard some of these teams. That game last night looked exactly like I thought the season opener against New York would look. Attacking Embiid in pick-and-roll, constantly getting the Sixers in rotation, and then them not being sharp in their off-ball defense. That's what I talked about before the Knicks game. All of that stuff was on full display last night against the Celtics. 即使他們的防守數據很好看，我還是不確定 Embiid 是否有能力防守某些球隊。 昨晚那場比賽，跟我原本預期76人對上尼克的開幕戰會出現的情況，幾乎一模一樣。 不斷利用擋拆攻擊 Embiid，持續迫使76人陷入輪轉補防，接著利用他們無球防守不夠到 位的問題。這些就是我在對尼克的比賽前所談到的事情。 而昨晚對上塞爾提克，所有這些問題都完全暴露出來了。 And Embiid is not going to be able to guard good pick-and-roll teams. Not unless he can park his ass right underneath the basket. And even then, he's got to do better than he has done to this point. That's a real concern of mine. Their off-ball attentiveness? Real concern of mine. Nick Nurse's game plan and flexibility? Real concern of mine. So it's weird. I'm in a weird spot with this Sixers team. The way their metrics look doesn't actually reflect how I feel about their units on both ends of the floor. Embiid 根本無法防守那些擅長打擋拆的球隊，除非他能夠一直待在籃框正下方防守。 但即使如此，他的表現也必須比目前為止所展現的好得多。 這是我真正擔心的問題之一，他們在無球防守時的專注程度？這也是我非常擔心的問題。 Nurse的防守策略，以及他調整戰術的彈性？同樣讓我非常擔心，所以這真的很奇怪。 我現在對這支76人的評價，處於一個很矛盾的狀態。 因為他們目前呈現出來的數據，根本無法反映我對這支球隊攻防兩端的實際看法。 But again, really impressive win for the Celtics. You can make the case they look like the best team in the Eastern Conference right now. I still have my concerns about them offensively in the big picture, but they are going to have their opportunities. They have a tough schedule over the course of the rest of this month of November. So we're going to get to see more opportunities for Boston to address those concerns. 不過話說回來，塞爾提克確實拿下了一場非常令人印象深刻的勝利。 你甚至可以說，他們現在看起來就是東區最強的球隊。 從整體角度來看，我對他們的進攻依然有一些疑慮，但接下來他們還有機會證明自己。 11月剩下的賽程對他們相當艱難。因此，我們還會有更多機會觀察青賽如何解決這些問題 備註 跟昨天版友分析的差不多？ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 111.248.217.22 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1794452476.A.6A4.html