附原文網址 https://fansided.com/nba/what-the-epic-spurs-thunder-matchup-can-teach-us- about-the-2026-nba-draft What the epic Spurs-Thunder matchup can teach us about the 2026 NBA Draft /The other 28 NBA front offices should be taking notes on this series./ 史詩般的馬刺對雷霆對決，能教給我們關於2026年NBA選秀的事 /其他28支NBA球團的管理層應該好好從這輪系列賽汲取經驗。/ ♦ By Christopher Kline ♦ 6小時前 The San Antonio Spurs toppled the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, winning 122-115 in overtime to steal home-court advantage. Many believe (rightfully) that this series is the "real" championship duel. There simply is not an Eastern Conference team on the level of San Antonio or OKC right now. When it comes to the 2026 NBA Draft, there's a lot we can learn from both teams. The Spurs and Thunder are on the younger side, with mostly homegrown cores that are the result of great execution in recent drafts. The league is ever-evolving, as is draft evaluation. What made a prospect special 10 years ago might not hold weight in 2026. The league is often reacting to the latest, greatest feat in team-building. The Warriors made every team want to play small. Now every team wants to play big, like Denver or OKC. Here's what scouts and opposing GMs can gleam from watching the NBA's current heavyweights duke it out: 聖安東尼奧馬刺在西區決賽G1以122比115在延長賽擊敗奧克拉荷馬城雷霆，成功偷走主場 優勢。許多人認為（這看法很合理）這輪系列賽才是真正的總冠軍對決。目前東區沒有任 何球隊能與馬刺或雷霆匹敵。 在2026年NBA選秀方面，我們可以從這兩支球隊身上學到很多東西。馬刺和雷霆都相當年 輕，核心大多是自家培養的球員，這是近年選秀出色執行的成果。聯盟一直在演進，選秀 評估方式也是如此。十年前讓一名潛力新秀顯得特別的條件，在2026年可能已經不再那麼 重要。聯盟常常會對最新的團隊建構成功案例做出反應。勇士讓所有球隊都想打小球，而 現在大家則想打大球，像丹佛或雷霆那樣。 以下是球探與其他球團總經理從目前聯盟兩大強權的對抗中可以學到的： A rookie's first contract is more important than his second contract ✂ 新秀的第一份合約比第二份合約更重要 ☑ In the past, we'd discuss "upside" in the draft through an extreme long-term lens. The "two years away from being two years away" lens. And while we can still do that, the league's current collective bargaining agreement really drives home the value of immediate contributions. There just isn't as much flexibility on the margins for high-spending teams nowadays. Once a talented rookie graduates to that second NBA contract, your ability to acquire depth around them restricts. Those first and second tax aprons are dynasty killers ( see: Celtics, Boston). The Spurs, for example, basically have their three best players — Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper — locked up on rookie contracts, which are well below market value. That setup allows the Spurs to trade for De 'Aaron Fox (and extend him at four years, $221 million) without compromising their depth. OKC has reached the point where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams are all extended to lucrative contracts. How does Sam Presti keep their depth up? Through his mountain of draft assets, which he stockpiled diligently before the Thunder's breakout. Now Ajay Mitchell is playing critical minutes on a rookie deal, when he's probably "worth" $30 million-plus . Those picks also gave OKC the flexibility to acquire Jared McCain on a rookie deal. Cason Wallace is on his rookie deal. Thomas Sorber and Nikola Topi are on breakout watch next year. And OKC has two top-20 picks to mess around with this summer. When it comes time to extend Mitchell and McCain, OKC can figure it out. Maybe Presti just trades them for more picks and repeats the process. When the CBA makes it harder and harder to add depth in free agency to acquire salaries via trade, the golden ticket for sustained improvement is the draft. It's more important, now than ever, for contenders to draft well, not just the teams tanking to the bottom. This is what separates OKC from every other team. 過去，我們討論選秀時常以極長遠的視角去看「天花板」，也就是「還要兩年才到『還要 兩年』」那種。雖然這種角度依然適用，但聯盟現行的勞資協議（CBA）已清楚凸顯立即 貢獻的價值。對高薪球隊來說，邊緣操作的彈性已大幅減少。一旦一名有天賦的菜鳥升上 第二份合約，你就很難再圍繞他補強深度。第一和第二級豪華稅門檻簡直是王朝殺手（例 如波士頓塞爾蒂克）。 以馬刺為例，他們目前最強的三名球員——Victor Wembanyama、Stephon Castle和Dylan Harper——都還鎖在菜鳥合約，薪資遠低於市場價值。這讓馬刺能夠交易來De'Aaron Fox（並以4年2.21億美元續約），卻不會犧牲球隊深度。 雷霆則已經走到Shai Gilgeous-Alexander、Chet Holmgren和Jalen Williams全都簽下高 薪續約的階段。Sam Presti要如何維持深度？靠著他之前在球隊爆發前勤奮囤積的大量選 秀資產。現在Ajay Mitchell正以菜鳥合約打出關鍵上場時間，而他的身價可能已超過 3000萬美元。這些選秀權也讓雷霆有彈性交易來Jared McCain，同樣用菜鳥合約。Cason Wallace也在菜鳥合約上。Thomas Sorber和Nikola Topi明年則備受期待。雷霆今年夏天 還有兩枚前20順位選秀權可以運用。等到要續約Mitchell和McCain時，雷霆再想辦法， 或許Presti直接交易他們換更多選秀權，然後重複這個循環。 當勞資協議讓自由市場補強和交易薪資變得愈來愈困難時，選秀就成為持續進步的黃金門 票。現在比以往任何時候都更重要：爭冠球隊必須選秀選得好，而不只是那些墊底擺爛的 球隊。這正是雷霆能和其他球隊拉開差距的原因。 Strength or functional athleticism — NBA guards need both, ideally ✂ 力量或功能性運動能力——NBA後衛最好兩者兼具 ☑ The 2026 draft features a deep pool of smallish guards projected in the lottery, which is odd considering the NBA's increasing emphasis on positional size. Darius Acuff Jr. and Kingston Flemings are both under 6-foot-3 barefoot. Labaron Philon weighs in at 176 pounds. How NBA teams navigate perceived talent versus the unstoppable evolution of the sport will be fascinating to watch in real time. So what can help a guard prospect break through in today's NBA? In the case of Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, it helps to be tall . But there are other important qualities: burst, dexterity, and now more than ever, strength. Physicality. Harper took over Game 1 with seven steals and 24 points, scoring frequently with his signature layup package. The Spurs and Thunder, really, are operating under the same playbook. Multiple ball-handlers, all with the quickness, shiftiness and bullish strength necessary to plant two feet in the paint. They can all score below the rim, off of two feet, with balletic footwork and a willingness to absorb contact. There aren't any true analogs for San Antonio's backcourt duo (and especially not for SGA) in this year's class, however. What's more important for teams selecting outside the top four in the lottery will be determining which "small " guards can hang with these jumbo, brute-force ball-handlers. Who has the physical tools and skill package necessary to overcome perceived limitations and survive on the floor in against a Spurs or Thunder-type opponent. Because that will be the ultimate goal. Flemings is my highest-ranked, non-Darryn Peterson guard prospect. He clearly lacks ideal measurements for the modern game (6-foot-2½ barefoot, 6-foot-3½ wingspan), but he's a nuclear athlete, with the sprint speed of De'Aaron Fox, mixed in with the lateral agility and functional, controlled vertical explosiveness to impact plays all over the floor on defense. He can jump passing lanes, mirror ball-handlers at the point of attack or fly in from the weak-side to disrupt shots at the rim. On offense, if he can add just a little bit of core strength to better hold his line on drives, Flemings is going to create and extend advantages with ease. He's too smart and too quick, with too much defensive equity, to fade simply because of measurements. To me, Flemings very much belongs in the same conversations as Ajay Mitchell, if we want a relevant point of comparison. At the end of the day, small guards are not antiques. They aren't completely out of fashion. There is a place in the league for Fred VanVleet or Jalen Brunson, obviously. 2026年選秀大會有大量身材較小的後衛被預測會進入樂透區，這在NBA日益強調位置尺寸 的趨勢下顯得有些特別。Darius Acuff Jr.和Kingston Flemings兩人赤腳身高都不到6尺 3。Labaron Philon的體重只有176磅。NBA球隊要如何在「可知的天賦」與這項運動不可 阻擋的演進之間取得平衡，將是值得實時觀察的精彩過程。 那麼，在當今NBA中，什麼特質能幫助一名後衛潛力股脫穎而出？以Stephon Castle、 Dylan Harper和Shai Gilgeous-Alexander為例，身高有優勢當然有幫助，但還有其他重 要素質：爆發力、靈活性，以及現在比以往更重要的——力量與身體對抗性。 Harper在G1比賽中大發神威，拿下7次抄截和24分，頻頻用他招牌的切入上籃組合得分。 馬刺和雷霆其實是使用同一套打法：多名持球手，都具備快速、敏捷以及強壯到能在禁區 穩穩雙腳落地的能力。他們都能在籃下用兩腳起跳完成得分，靠著優雅的腳步和願意承受 身體接觸。 不過，今年這屆選秀並沒有真正的類似聖安東尼奧後場雙人組（更不用說SGA）的球員。 對那些在樂透區前四順位之後選秀的球隊來說，更重要的是判斷哪些「小個」後衛 能夠在面對這些身材巨大、力量型的持球攻擊手時站穩腳跟。誰擁有必要的身體條件和 技術組合，能夠克服被認知的限制，在對上馬刺或雷霆類型對手的比賽中生存下來。 這才是最終目標。 Flemings是我排名最高的非Darryn Peterson後衛潛力股。他明顯缺乏現代比賽的理想身 材數據（赤腳6尺2.5，臂展6尺3.5），但他是一名核能運動員，擁有De'Aaron Fox般的衝 刺速度，搭配橫向敏捷性和功能性、可控的垂直爆發力，能夠在防守端影響全場。他可以 跳出傳球路線、在第一線鏡像持球人，或從弱側飛身干擾籃下投籃。在進攻端，只要他能 稍微增加核心力量以更好地頂住對抗，Flemings就能輕鬆製造和延續優勢。他太聰明、太 快速，防守端貢獻又高，不會僅僅因為身材數據就逐漸消失。 在我看來，如果要找一個相關的比較對象，Flemings非常適合與Ajay Mitchell放在同一 層級討論。 歸根結底，小個後衛並沒有過時。他們並非完全不流行。聯盟中顯然還是有一席之地留給 Fred VanVleet或Jalen Brunson這樣的人。 心得：講那麼多，教一下怎麼坦狀元吧！ https://i.postimg.cc/CM40B7S5/01.jpg 此分類請勿使用簽名檔 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 42.117.48.128 (越南) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1779300578.A.1AE.html